The 12 most concerning numbers that define the Capitals poor play early this season

The Washington Capitals are off to certainly one of their worst begins of the Alex Ovechkin Era. They’re below .500 with a file of 7-9-3. They sit seventh in the Metropolitan Division. They path first-place New Jersey by 11 standings factors. If the playoffs began at this time, the Caps would miss the dance for the first time since 2013-14.

There are good excuses as to why. The crew is badly injured, lacking prime gamers like Nicklas Backstrom, Tom Wilson, and TJ Oshie. Some of these injury-replacement gamers have themselves been misplaced to harm as nicely. Still, it looks like the Caps have sufficient expertise in the lineup to win extra typically.

The Caps have struggled, beginning slowly and infrequently placing collectively full 60-minute video games.

Here are numbers that stand out as concerning.


7

The variety of instances the Capitals have given up three or extra objectives in a interval. That’s it seven instances in 19 video games. The Capitals are 1-5-1 in these contests. “It’s not a recipe for achievement,” John Carlson stated after the Caps surrendered three objectives in the first interval to the St. Louis Blues on Thursday — the third straight recreation they’ve completed so.

Caps unhealthy intervals

  • 10-17-2022: 3 objectives allowed in the 2nd interval in opposition to the Vancouver Canucks – 6-4 Win
  • 10-20-2022: 3 objectives allowed in the third interval in opposition to the Ottawa Senators – 5-2 Loss
  • 11-05-2022: 3 objectives allowed in the third interval in opposition to the Arizona Coyotes – 3-2 Loss
  • 11-09-2022: 3 objectives allowed in the 2nd interval in opposition to the Pittsburgh Penguins – 4-1 Loss
  • 11-13-2022: 4 objectives allowed in the 1st interval in opposition to the Tampa Bay Lightning – 6-3 Loss
  • 11-15-2022: 3 objectives allowed in the third interval in opposition to the Florida Panthers – 5-2 Loss
  • 11-17-2022: 3 objectives allowed in the 1st interval in opposition to the St. Louis Blues – 5-4 (SO) Loss

twenty fourth

Washington’s rank in changing energy performs this season at 19.4 %. John Carlson’s PPG on Thursday ended a chilly streak throughout 23 alternatives. The Capitals additionally began the season 0 for 9 on the man benefit.

The crew depends closely on Alex Ovechkin, who has scored 5 of the crew’s PPGs this season. His teammates have discovered the again of the web solely 9 instances mixed.


2-6-2

The Capitals’ file on the highway this season is the fifth-worst in the NHL. The Capitals common 2.50 objectives and quit 3.30 objectives per recreation away from Capital One Arena. Their power-play share drops to 12.5 — second worst in the league. The Capitals have taken the sixth-most minor penalties in the NHL (42) on the highway, giving up 9 power-play objectives (fifth-most in the league).


6

The variety of five-on-five objectives Conor Sheary has, main all Capitals gamers (together with Alex Ovechkin). Sheary is a participant who matches extra in a middle-six position. But attributable to the crew’s accidents, he has change into certainly one of the crew’s most dependable scorers as gamers like Anthony Mantha have scuffled. Sheary’s seven objectives in any respect strengths this season ranks second on the crew. This is an effective factor, but it surely’s additionally unhealthy. It speaks to how little the Caps are getting from everybody else.


Plus-15

The percentage-point enhance in the opponent’s offense in comparison with the league common when first-pairing defenseman John Carlson is on the ice, in response to HockeyViz. This is the highest enhance in opponent hazard amongst all Caps defenders. (Orlov is plus-8.)


twenty eighth

Washington’s rank in PDO in the month of November, 0.976. PDO is the sum of taking pictures percentages (6.8 %) and save percentages (90.8 %) throughout five-on-five play. Washington’s PDO in October was 1.029, third highest in the league. This suggests the Capitals have been tremendous unfortunate these days.


Minus-3.4

The distinction between Washington’s possession of shot makes an attempt (48.3 %) and their possession of anticipated objectives (44.9 %). Only 4 groups have a much bigger hole between amount and high quality: Arizona, Anaheim, Winnipeg, and Colorado.


minus-6

Erik Gustafsson’s team-worst on-ice purpose differential. (*12*) was signed over the offseason by GM Brian MacLellan to play on the crew’s third defensive pairing. He is aggressive in creating offense in the offensive zone and the Swede does so, posting a team-high 53.8 shot-attempt share amongst Caps defensemen. But that is resulting in too many objectives the different approach. He’s been on the ice for 13 5v5 opponent objectives, which trails solely Martin Fehervary (14). (*12*) is skating on the first pairing with John Carlson as the crew waits to get Dmitry Orlov again from harm.


22.5

Percentage of anticipated objectives belonging to the Caps when Connor McMichael is on the ice. This is the lowest share of any participant in the total league who performed no less than half-hour. (The Capitals purpose differential is even this time: 2 for Washington, 2 for opponents)


1.9

The variety of objectives Darcy Kuemper has saved above the quantity anticipated by Moneypuck’s mannequin (37.9 anticipated, 36 precise). Kuemper has confronted the ninth highest complete anticipated objectives in the league. (Just for the file, Vitek Vanecek has saved 0.4 objectives above anticipated, and Ilya Samsonov has saved 4.9 objectives above anticipated).

Kuemper’s been good, however the struggling Caps protection wants much more from him.


Under 50%

None of Washington’s beginning 4 facilities have a faceoff share over 50 %.

Lars Eller: 49.9%
Yevgeny Kuznetsov: 47.0%
Nick Dowd: 44.9%
Dylan Strome: 44.7%

Sure, faceoffs do not matter over the lengthy haul, however seeing this provides me heartburn anyway.


9

The variety of Capitals gamers who’ve missed time this season attributable to harm. The Capitals are the most injured crew in the NHL this season.

  • D Alexander Alexeyevshoulder, returned in November
  • F Nicklas Backstromhip resurfacing, timeline unknown
  • F Connor BrownACL, probably out for the season
  • D John Carlsondecrease physique, missed six video games
  • F Beck Malenstynfinger, 6-8 weeks
  • F TJ Oshie“indefinite”
  • F Tom WilsonACL, anticipated return round December
  • F Carl Hagelinhip, indefinite
  • D Dmitry Orlovknee, day-to-day

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