STRATEGY GUIDE: What are the possible race strategies for the 2022 Hungarian Grand Prix?

The closing race forward of the mid-season break is upon us and it is fantastically arrange with a brand new pole-sitter and mixed-up grid, so let’s check out the completely different strategic choices obtainable to the groups on race day in Hungary. ..

What’s the quickest technique?

The groups have been caught out a little bit bit this weekend after scuffling with the exhausting compound, because it was sliding and sporting in sizzling circumstances on Friday, making it comfortably slower than the medium and tender. The upshot of that’s the truth {that a} one-stop technique is all of a sudden a lot tougher to execute with out the exhausting, making the theoretical quickest technique a two-stop.

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But do not forget that these calculations from Pirelli are performed with out various variables that differ from staff to staff, as the strategists for every constructor need to think about issues like their particular tire utilization, and visitors.

So in relation to the quickest solution to the finish of a race, beginning on the tender compound is deemed finest as it’ll enable the finest launch off the line for considered one of the longer runs to Turn 1 this season. The alternative to make up positions would then be adopted by a primary stint of between 16-21 laps earlier than switching to the medium compound tire.

The center stint could be something as much as 32 laps relying on how early the first cease is made, with a second pit window between Lap 42 and 48 for one other set of mediums.

Depending on potential Safety Car interruptions and with the gasoline load working down, there’s additionally the potential for a change to tender tires as a substitute for the closing stint, though that’s extra prone to be reactive to the race scenario and are available round Lap 50.

How a couple of completely different possibility for the high 10?

The drawback with the two-stop technique above is the truth that it’ll quit monitor place on a circuit that’s notoriously tough for overtaking, and there is a slight unknown about how powerful will probably be to cross on monitor this yr.

The new laws have seen a lot nearer racing up to now this season, and drivers are capable of push behind one other automobile. But that does not imply overtaking is straightforward, and so it’s possible groups are nonetheless going to favor making fewer stops so they do not threat getting caught behind a slower automobile and ruining their technique.

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The quickest one-stop possibility does use the exhausting compound, however begins on the medium and runs to a pit window between Lap 26 and Lap 34, earlier than switching to the exhausting and working to the finish. It’s nonetheless an extended stint that drivers should handle on the exhausting and tire put on might develop into a limiting issue in the event that they are sliding round much more than on Friday, however regardless of the slower tempo they are possible to have the ability to defend their place.

This one-stop is simply predicted to be three to 4 seconds slower than the quickest two-stop technique, exhibiting how tempting will probably be for groups to prioritize the decrease variety of pit stops. The threat, although, is whether it is simpler to overhaul then drivers is perhaps weak on the exhausting compound in the second half of the race.

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What are the choices for the backside half of the area?

There’s one other one-stop possibility that requires much more tire administration, as a result of it makes use of the tender compound for the first stint of the race.

The attraction right here is to start out on the faster compound that can present the finest launch off the line, with a run of almost half a kilometer from pole place to the first braking zone to utilize that additional grip.

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The problem might be extending that first stint lengthy sufficient on excessive gasoline, with a have to get as near Lap 25 as possible earlier than switching to the exhausting compound to go to the finish. With a 70-lap race, that would go away a 45-lap closing stint.

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For a unique two-stop possibility, there may be the potential to make use of all three compounds all through the race. Starting on the medium tire, a extra aggressive first stint could be possible earlier than pitting for hards between Lap 20 and Lap 25.

From there the exhausting wouldn’t have to be managed as a lot, with drivers capable of push tougher to attempt to keep temperature – which is essential to creating the exhausting work – earlier than pitting for a set of softs any time after Lap 48.

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Doing a two-stop technique that makes use of two units of sentimental tires – with a center stint on mediums – can be prone to solely be critically thought of by these outdoors the high ten who’ve an additional set of softs obtainable for the race that they did not t use in qualifying.

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Wait, however what’s the climate doing?

The proven fact that there are so many potential permutations reveals that even the groups are unlikely to be clear on their best plan, and that is as a result of the climate has modified considerably since Friday. Temperatures in observe had been effectively into the 30s and monitor temperatures had been up in the 50s, however regardless of that the exhausting tire wasn’t performing significantly effectively.

The race is ready to happen in temperatures that are some 10C decrease, and on a monitor that has seen a good bit of rain over the previous 24 hours, so the grip degree will not be as excessive as it will usually be both. That all provides as much as it being more durable to know how the tires will react and select a technique.

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After some heavy downpours and thunderstorms on Saturday, there’s a threat of rain for the race too, though the forecast suggests the highest probability is in a four-hour window previous to lights out.

Even if it would not proceed raining proper as much as the begin of the race, if there may be sufficient forward of the begin then there’s an opportunity there might be a moist monitor attributable to the decrease ambient temperatures in comparison with earlier days.

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