Let’s talk about those Harry Kane to Bayern rumors

If you comply with Tottenham Hotspur switch rumors — and also you’re studying this weblog, so in fact you do — you’ve got in all probability encountered a couple of… properly, let’s name them “spurious” rumors linking Spurs homegrown famous person Harry Kane with a transfer to Bayern Munich, probably as quickly as this summer season. These rumors first emerged from the wilds of bat nation initially of September, normally as bizarre “sources say” reviews in varied switch trackers and within the worst of the English tabloid rags that we (nearly) by no means hyperlink to.

The crux of the rumor is that this: Bayern goes to attempt to tempt Kane with a blockbuster transfer to Munich subsequent summer season when Kane enters the final 12 months of his present contract at Spurs. Tottenham have been slow-walking talks of a attainable contract extension for Kane, however nothing seems imminent, and Bayern would try to make the most of that to negotiate a (barely) cut-rate deal for a then-30-year-old Kane.

So what’s modified immediately? Nothing actually, besides that there is a new report saying primarily the identical factor in 90min.com, which is probably a slight tick up in reliability from the Daily Mail (however not THAT large). Stories like this are nearly as inevitable because the tides, particularly after the 2021 saga linking Kane with a transfer to Manchester City that resulted in me posting an entire bunch of articles with jokes about bikes and header images of Harry falling over. There was even a latest rumor about Todd Boehly wanting to carry Kane to Chelsea!

So is a narrative in September about Kane probably heading to Bayern an excellent rumor? No. But is it a believable rumor? Well… yeah, it could be. So we should always talk about it, as a result of whereas this rumor appears like a background hum, I’ve a sense this won’t go away.

First, I would like to be clear that I’m not advocating that Spurs promote Harry Kane, both to Bayern or elsewhere. But, we should always acknowledge that there are principally two choices for Kane and Tottenham this season — both Spurs provide and Kane accepts a brand new contract that retains him at Spurs past 2024, or they do not/he would not. Both look like cheap potentialities at this level. There’s been a variety of background chatter about how Kane could be very glad enjoying beneath Antonio Conte the previous two seasons, and that he’s open to discussing a brand new contract at Spurs. Should Harry resolve that he needs to stay at Spurs till the very finish of his profession, he’ll signal a brand new deal and that is the tip of the story — fast, straightforward, (comparatively) painless. But we have not seen a lot about that but, and barring additional data we rapidly depart stable floor and enter the marshy panorama of unfounded rumours.

There’s additionally the open query about each Kane’s and Tottenham’s long-term motivation. Spurs are undoubtedly headed in the correct course beneath Conte and this could possibly be the perfect alternative for the membership to raise silverware in a very long time. But Kane can be chasing down Jimmy Greaves as Spurs’ main objective scorer, and is inside cheap hanging distance of catching Alan Shearer because the Premier League’s prime scorer. He would possibly catch Greavsie, however leaving the Premier League would finish any probability he has of getting forward of Shearer. And we do not know the way reaching any of his particular person or staff targets at Tottenham will have an effect on his decision-making. Will profitable a cup — or (whispers) the league — make him kind of seemingly to depart Spurs? We do not know.

My guess is that regardless Spurs will resolve on whether or not to provide a contract someday this season, and Kane will then resolve whether or not he needs to signal it. And ought to both not occur, Tottenham would promote him this coming summer season — as unpopular a choice as it could be to the followers, the membership not has the leverage it did in 2021 and it could be a lot preferable to promote him whereas he nonetheless instructions worth than to let him depart on a free switch, seemingly to one other Premier League membership, in 2024.

We know that there are solely a handful of locations for Kane ought to the membership resolve to promote him. Manchester City is one in all them, together with Real Madrid and Barcelona. Pundits will point out the likes of Chelsea and Manchester United, however I am unable to see the membership promoting Kane to both of them (or to City, barring a ridiculous price) and I am unable to see Kane wanting to head to a membership the place he ‘d be primarily in the identical place the place he’s at Spurs. It also needs to be famous that there have not been any hyperlinks like Kane to both Barca or Madrid.

That leaves Bayern. Titles aren’t a problem in Munich, as Bayern have dominated that league because the Obama administration. I’ve little question that Bayern Munich is interested by Harry Kane. A transfer for Kane within the final 12 months of his contract additionally type of suits with the Bayern switch ethos — they do not make splashy mega-millions signings that usually, however definitely like to dangle across the fringes of a variety of offers within the occasion they’re ready to make a reduced transfer for a giant star. I can see Kane being a plus add beneath nearly any supervisor at Bayern Munich, and it will get him out of Spurs and at a membership the place Tottenham do not actually have to fear about him except they face them within the Champions League.

Moreover, it could additionally make sense for Kane (and his brother Charlie) to preserve their choices open within the brief to medium time period. It definitely would not damage them to play the sphere, even when Harry needs to keep at Spurs. The Brothers Kane now maintain a significantly bigger share of the leverage now that Harry would not have 4 years left on his contract, and it is good and sensible enterprise for Kane to be certain that his choices stay open. An affordable final result to all of that is both a brand new brief time period Tottenham contract with a launch clause low sufficient to tempt a mega-club ought to they arrive calling, or a big-money transfer overseas that prices Spurs their talisman however leaves them with cash which they’ll reinvest into the squad.

And when you’re Bayern, why not sow some seeds early on and hope that they develop into one thing they’ll harvest? They don’t have anything to lose right here. Worst case situation is Tottenham and Kane shut it down by way of a contract extension. Best case situation is that they get the perfect English striker previously 30 years to come to Germany for an inexpensive(ish) switch price.

So sure, this rumor is untimely. It’s unsourced and a bit foolish. But it is also believableeven when it is not seemingly.

Losing Harry Kane could be a giant loss. The emotional toll could be even greater. You could make an argument based mostly on monetary prudence that this summer season could be an excellent time to promote Kane whether or not or not he is pushing for it… and that argument extends out to Son Heung-Min, who turns 31 in July, as properly. I’m not prepared to make that argument fairly but, however Tottenham are little question planning for what the membership will appear to be after he is gone. Hopefully that does not occur this summer season, however I’m turning into increasingly more satisfied that except Harry commits his future with a brand new contract quickly, we will not, or should not, rule it out.

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