Expectations vs production – Disappointing fantasy hockey picks

The anti-all-star workforce is an concept that struck me final week whereas assembling the fantasy model of the all-star squads introduced by the NHL. The idea is straightforward, whereas the fantasy all-star workforce highlighted the gamers greatest combining production and expectations, the anti-all-star squad will do the other.

These are the gamers which are doing the least in comparison with the expectations we placed on them previous to the season. That is all relative, after all. For instance, you will see Auston Matthews on the Atlantic Division workforce — however that under no circumstances implies he is a poor asset for fantasy. In truth, he is ninth in fantasy scoring this season and tied for sixth in fantasy factors per recreation (FPPG). What makes him eligible for this workforce, nonetheless, is the expectation that he can be the one one able to competing with Connor McDavid to be the perfect in fantasy this season. But there are seven different gamers doing higher in that chase, whereas Matthews lags McDavid by greater than 50 fantasy factors.

This is not essentially an all-dud workforce. Many of those gamers are seemingly serving to you obtain success in fantasy this season. It’s simply that they don’t seem to be serving to as a lot as we hoped they’d.

Once once more, the identical guidelines because the NHL apply right here: One participant from every workforce (even when it feels compelled at instances) and one goaltender per division, however no must stability forwards and defensemen.

Metropolitan Division

Artemi Panarin, W, New York Rangers: After posting 2.2, 2.4 and a couple of.5 fantasy factors per recreation going again the earlier three seasons, there is no such thing as a query Panarin is just not doing what fantasy managers drafted him to do that season. Was Ryan Strome a greater middle for him than Vincent Trocheck is popping out to be? Or have Panarin and Trocheck simply not fairly had sufficient time collectively? Or is Panarin, in his age-31 season, simply beginning to come out of his prime?

Ondrej Palat, W, New Jersey Devils: There weren’t very many good candidates from the Devils, as overachieving has been the theme this season. So we’ll be robust on Palat right here, although he is solely been wholesome for 11 video games. His 1.5 FPPG is not adequate contemplating the highest-six expertise he performs with.

Johnny Gaudreau, W, Columbus Blue Jackets: Did expectations get constructed up an excessive amount of due to Gaudreau’s monumental contract yr and offseason drama? If you observe that his FPPG this season is healthier than it was in each 2020-21 and 2019-20, it is a honest query. His 1.8 FPPG is a far cry from final season’s 2.5 although, nonetheless you slice it.

Evgeny Kuznetsov, C, Washington Capitals: He’s exterior the highest 150 skaters for complete fantasy factors in a wholesome season. This ought to have been a bounceback marketing campaign for Kuznetsov with Nicklas Backstrom sidelined for the primary half.

Jake Guentzel, W, Pittsburgh Penguins: After rating within the high 25 skaters for FPPG within the earlier two seasons and coming into his age-29 marketing campaign, every thing was primed for Guentzel to place all of it collectively for a profession season. His 2.1 FPPG is not horrible, however it’s extra like high 75 versus high 25.

Ivan Provorov, D, Philadelphia Flyers: This is made extra disappointing as a result of Provorov really began robust. On Nov. 27, he ranked tenth amongst defensemen in fantasy factors and had 2.2 FPPG. Now, he ranks twenty fifth amongst defensemen and his plummet continues.

Ryan Pulock, D, New York Islanders: Cresting above 2.0 FPPG in two of the previous three seasons, Pulock presently sits forty eighth amongst defensemen for fantasy factors and has posted a lowly 1.6 FPPG.

Frederik Andersen, G, Carolina Hurricanes: Sorry, Andersen, however somebody has to get picked on from the division and no different goaltender has carried out considerably lower than what was anticipated of them. This is a major instance of how this anti-all-star workforce works. While Elvis Merzlikins has the worst targets saved above the anticipated mark within the NHL this season, no one in fantasy was relying on him. So Andersen, although he is been nice when wholesome, will get to symbolize the Canes on this workforce as a result of he missed a lot time.

Atlantic Division

Juraj Slafkovsky, W, Montreal Canadiens: Poor Slavkovsky finally ends up on this squad as a result of nobody — anyplace — anticipated an excessive amount of out of the Habs this season. While Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield have cooled off after a scorching begin, their general production has been stable. Slafkovsky, whereas a threat in fantasy drafts, has been disappointing relative to alternative. If you informed me he was a lineup common with 12 minutes per recreation, I might have mentioned he’d be fantasy related previous to the season. A 0.9 FPPG price says in any other case.

Auston Matthews, C, Toronto Maple Leafs: Again, now we have a case of nobody actually taking part in under expectations for the Leafs. Maybe Michael Bunting, however we knew his star was tied to Matthews success. And Matthews has been removed from disappointing, it is simply that he isn’t neck and neck with Connor McDavid because the clear-lower high fantasy choices.

Sam Reinhart, C/W, Florida Panthers: A drop-off of greater than 35 fantasy factors is what Reinhart is presently on tempo for. With the expertise on the Panthers, this should not have occurred this season. Rate-wise, it is a drop from 2.2 FPPG final season to 1.7 FPPG this yr.

Victor Olofsson, W, Buffalo Sabres: Had to choose somebody from this crew of overachievers. With everybody else on the workforce blowing previous expectations, it is a contact disappointing to see Olofsson cruising alongside at the very same 1.4 FPPG he posted final season. That mentioned, the Sabers are a hit story and nobody was actually drafting Olofsson this yr anyway. But once more, every workforce will get a consultant.

Taylor Hall, W, Boston Bruins: The Bruins aren’t even utilizing Hall with regularity within the high six — even with an damage among the many ranks. Hopes that the long run Hart Trophy winner may discover a fantasy groove later in his profession are proving to be fruitless.

Tyler Bertuzzi, W, Detroit Red Wings: Not too many underwhelmers from the Red Wings, so Bertuzzi will get the nod right here regardless of his accidents. He’s solely managed 12 fantasy factors in 12 video games heading into Monday’s motion.

Victor Hedman, D, Tampa Bay Lightning: He is rounding again into kind once more, however the truth that Mikhail Sergachev was the Lightning’s high fantasy defenseman for 2 months of the season regardless of a wholesome Hedman within the lineup was a troubling begin to the marketing campaign. Although he has posted 2.2 FPPG up to now month and is getting again to the place we would like him to be, there was a time in mid-December when Hedman was exterior the highest 50 defensemen; not high 50 skaters, that is high 50 defensemen.

Cam Talbot, G, Ottawa Senators: He simply is not a fantasy issue. Now in January, it is getting more and more dangerous to nonetheless be ready for the Sens to seek out their rhythm. Maybe that is the Sens? A mercurial offense regardless of a high-notch energy play, however with out the chops within the crease to make the playoffs. I do not assume anybody drafted Talbot to be their No. 1 fantasy goalie, however he isn’t even a No. 2 at this stage.

Central Division

Matt Duchene, C/W, Nashville Predators: Regression from 43 targets was inevitable for the simply-turned-32-yr-outdated, however Duchene may see his aim complete lower in half. I might have been all-in on him at the very least attending to 30 targets, however one chilly streak and Duchene may wrestle to get to twenty. This Predators offense is on tempo to attain 37 fewer targets than they scored final season. I’m wondering the place all of them went. Mr. Duchene, I’m taking a look at you.

Tyler Seguin, C/W, Dallas Stars: There’s a parallel universe someplace with Seguin and Taylor Hall close to the highest of the leaderboards for scoring within the NHL. But it is not this one. Will Seguin get again to his pre-leg-accidents kind? Now two years eliminated, it is beginning to seem like that is the brand new final analysis. Which means he is solely related when somebody greater up the depth chart is injured.

Alex Newhook, C/W, Colorado Avalanche: Despite presently sitting exterior the playoff image, nobody on the Avs is actually doing lower than we anticipated them to this season. That’s means the anti-all-star workforce rep is the sleeper we hoped would step into Nazem Kadri’s skates on the second line, however hasn’t made a lot of an affect for fantasy this season in any respect.

Cole Perfetti, C/W, Winnipeg Jets: Perfetti did not have lofty expectations set upon him this season, however he was an awesome sleeper due to the chance he may get. Well, he is acquired each little bit of the anticipated alternative and extra, he simply hasn’t transformed time on this proficient high six to fantasy factors.

Ryan O’Reilly, C, St. Louis Blues: Most different Blues are doing what we needed them to this season or maybe much more. O’Reilly wasn’t anticipated to be a world beater or something, however his contributions so far are utterly irrelevant to fantasy. We had been definitely anticipating greater than that.

Nick Schmaltz, C/W, Arizona Coyotes: With expectations for the membership set so low, there aren’t many good illustration choices from the Coyotes. That mentioned, I needed extra of late-2021-22 Schmatlz, who was a high 50 fantasy ahead within the NHL. We do not get that from him but, however keep in mind this was in regards to the time he heated up final season.

Patrick Kane, W, Chicago Blackhawks: Mercy. Mercy, pricey Blackhawks. While I’m infatuated with the thought as an NHL fan of a participant staying with a corporation for the whole thing of a profession, that is painful to look at as a fantasy supervisor. Just 1.6 FPPG from Kane? Even in my worst-case eventualities for the Hawks, I nonetheless had Kane amassing extra fantasy factors.

Marc-Andre Fleury, G, Minnesota Wild: I nearly went the Marco Rossi route right here, as there have been some hefty expectations the rookie winger would discover a significant position. But he is been off the radar since October. Fleury simply is not passing muster as a fantasy goaltender; a truth made all of the extra stark by Filip Gustavsson performing exceptionally effectively in the exact same crease.

Pacific Division

Jonathan Huberdeau, W, Calgary Flames: The inspiration for this anti-all-star workforce, Huberdeau is following up a 115-level, 212.6-fantasy level marketing campaign in 2021-22 with a painful exhibiting right here. He is on tempo for 60 factors and 12 fantasy factors. Just a shadow of what he earned in Florida final season.

Adrian Kempe, C/W, Los Angeles Kings: If you informed me that Kempe would play just about each second of 5-on-5 with Anze Kopitar and be a lock on the primary energy-play unit in his age-26 season, I might have promised enchancment in fantasy scoring from his 1.9 FPPG final season.

Phil Kessel, W, Vegas Golden Knights: Yeah. Well, it was a hope on a wing and a prayer constructed on a home of playing cards. But it was nonetheless some sort of expectation right here. Instead, Kessel’s solely headlines this season are from his iron-man streak.

Oliver Bjorkstrand, W, Seattle Kraken: The arrival of Eeli Tolvanen is making it so even Bjorkstrand may begin to meet the sleeper expectations positioned upon him, as each member of the Kraken goes above and past this marketing campaign. But after nearly scoring 30 targets final season and shifting to a stronger offense, seven targets is lower than we hoped on the midway level.

JT Miller, C/W, Vancouver Canucks: Miller is like Matthews inclusion on the Atlantic squad: He’s not a poor fantasy funding by any means, he simply is not assembly the calls for of final season. It’s a drop from 2.7 FPPG to 2.3 FPPG, which is nothing to complain about until you took Miller within the first two rounds of a draft — which is one thing that occurred.

Alexander Barabanov, W, San Jose Sharks: When nobody exterior 4 gamers is incomes any fantasy worth — and nobody was anticipated to — it is onerous to be disenchanted with anybody right here. For Barabanov, it is only a matter of taking part in probably the most minutes on the highest energy-play unit with the Sharks gamers who do transfer the needle, but Barabanov is incomes nearly no fantasy worth to talk of.

John Klingberg, D, Anaheim Ducks: Take your decide from the Ducks for this anti-all-star workforce. Troy Terry and Trevor Zegras are equally good candidates, however Klingberg’s 1.6 FPPG is simply terribly underwhelming given the formulation for this season: He was simply presupposed to anchor the highest energy-play unit and earn sufficient worth to be flipped on the deadline. It was presupposed to be so easy.

Jack Campbell, G, Edmonton Oilers: Take your decide of Pacific Division goaltenders not named Logan Thompson or Martin Jones. Jacob Markstrom and Thatcher Demko have dropped off a cliff, however for Campbell to come back into Edmonton on such a serious deal and purport to be the reply in web solely to lose his beginning gig a month into the season — that is anti-all-star workforce. But do not look now! Campbell has gained 4 of 5 begins and perhaps, simply perhaps is pushing for a bigger share of the crease again.

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