To actually be thought-about a candidate for a bounce-again season, a participant must have a profile to bounce again from.
While expectations are one factor, I needed to quantify precisely what we’re on the lookout for right here. Taking the fantasy manufacturing put up by all NHLers over the past three years, I took the typical fantasy factors per sport (FPPG) and per 60 minutes (FPP60) from the primary two years and appeared on the distinction in comparison with final 12 months.
Simple? Yes. But efficient.
The players that popped probably the most are included beneath, though I’ve skipped past most goaltenders as they dominated this checklist and are in a distinct class on the subject of bouncing again. Goaltenders are very a lot a product of their surroundings. There was one tandem I needed to incorporate, nonetheless, so I made an exception. Players are divided up into impression and periphery beneath.
Jakob Chychrun, D Arizona Coyotes (2.07 FPPG 2019-21; 1.72 FPPG 2021-22): We begin this checklist with the participant that has each the most important potential impression and the most important potential to nonetheless fall flat. The Coyotes are in a race to the underside and nonetheless have Chychrun on a discount contract via this season and the following two. They completely would not have to commerce him. But in the event that they do and if Chychrun will get again right into a place to do some harm, look out. Before the wheels actually began coming off for the Coyotes final season, Chychrun was the second finest fantasy defenseman of the 2020-21 season, ending seventh amongst all skaters for complete fantasy factors. He did all of it: objectives, assists, modest energy-play manufacturing, heavy shot quantity and even first rate hits and blocked photographs. Injuries did not assist final season together with his totals, nevertheless it’s notable that his charges additionally dropped. A commerce would certainly kick-begin the bounceback, however there is a world the place he manages to return to kind on the cellar-dwelling Coyotes membership.
Verdict: Bounceback predicated on a commerce.
Travis Konecny, F, Philadelphia Flyers (1.78 FPPG 2019-21; 1.52 FPPG 2021-22): Chalk this one as much as Sean Couturier lacking the higher a part of the season. But with Couturier healed up and a barely rosier outlook on faucet for the Flyers, Konecny ought to return to kind in spades. For the time being, he stays the Flyers’ finest scoring winger and can occupy one of many spots on the highest line and prime energy play with Couturier. The duo have a 58.6 p.c Corsi for at 5-on-5 throughout the past three seasons, which is kind of stable at displaying their dominance collectively (Elias Lindholm would not have that prime a Corsi for proportion during the last three seasons with Matthew Tkachuk or Johnny Gaudreau, for instance).
Verdict: Great bounceback candidate.
Mika Zibanejad, F, New York Rangers (2.76 FPPG 2019-21; 2.20 FPPG 2021-22): I imply, if he would not bounce again to his gaudy heights you are not going to complain about one other season of two.20 FPPG from Zibanejad. But there may be one other degree lurking right here that we noticed in 2019-20 when Zibanejad posted a McDavid-esque 3.20 FPPG over 57 video games. A leap ahead from Alexis Lafreniere may assist push Zibanejad again towards these lofty charges.
Verdict: Not that he must, however bouncing again a bit.
David Pastrnak, F, Boston Bruins (2.61 FPPG 2019-21; 2.42 FPPG 2021-22): After a sluggish begin together with his longtime linemates of Patrice Bergeron and Brad Marchand, Pastrnak discovered extra success final season with Taylor Hall and Erik Haula. But it wasn’t sufficient to find his increased gears from earlier seasons. Pastrnak had his explosive campaigns alongside Bergeron and Marchand, however that does not look like an possibility on the desk anymore. Settling for two.40 FPPG will doubtless must do, with the window on Pastrnak pushing for 3.00 FPPG trying to be closed.
Verdict: No bounce again. This is the brand new regular.
Mark Stone, F, Vegas Golden Knights (2.18 FPPG 2019-21; 1.72 FPPG 2021-22): Injuries can take a lot of the blame for Stone’s pedestrian 2020-21 marketing campaign. And the outlook is far brighter regardless of the departure of Max Pacioretty. With a wholesome Jack Eichel able to heart the highest line, this may very well be Stone’s best season thus far. A constant producer of greater than 2.00 FPPG, having Eichel at his disposal ought to simply return Stone to the 30-objective threshold and push him to his first 80-level season.
Verdict: Eichel-induced bounceback.
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Dougie Hamilton, D, New Jersey Devils (2.26 FPPG 2019-21; 1.89 FPPG 2021-22): Was final 12 months a season of adjustment? Not only for Hamilton, however for the Devils as an entire? That is a good mindset because the workforce appears balanced sufficient to be an out of doors contender for a postseason berth with the event of its younger stars and the addition of some veteran sprinkles. Currently going twenty seventh amongst defensemen in common draft place, Hamilton is just one 12 months faraway from ending sixth amongst defensemen for fantasy factors.
Verdict: Even a small bounceback makes him an awesome worth decide. An enormous bounceback can assist win leagues.
Tyler Seguin, F, Dallas Stars (1.80 FPPG 2019-21; 1.57 FPPG 2021-22): I’ll admit to being closely invested within the narrative of Seguin coming back from a season-lengthy damage absence and surgical procedure to find his kind as one of many elite objective scorers of the NHL once more. I now not envision that future, however I can see one the place he will get again to stable, roster-worthy fantasy manufacturing. If Seguin simply wanted a mulligan marketing campaign to get his legs again, we may very well be in for a shock. Seguin managed seasons of two.37 FPPG and a couple of.33 FPPG in 2017-18 and 2018-19 earlier than the knee and hip points started. I will not be as daring to foretell that form of manufacturing once more, however I would not be shocked if he topped 1.80 FPPG. Count me in for a bounceback season, simply not fairly as excessive as I anticipated final 12 months.
Verdict: Will have his kind again and be worthy of your roster.
Mathew Barzal, F, New York Islanders (1.74 FPPG 2019-21; 1.54 FPPG 2021-22): It’s smart to do not forget that Barzal continues to be solely 25 years previous and has but to succeed in his final potential. He’s additionally not surrounded persistently by conventional, scoring wingers. That would not look like altering this season, so banking on a bounceback from Barzal is akin to doing the identical factor over and anticipating a distinct outcome.
Verdict: Nope. Not till they get this man a winger.
Ryan Strome, F, Anaheim Ducks (1.74 FPPG 2019-21; 1.52 FPPG 2021-22): It’s unclear precisely what sort of line and position is awaiting Strome with the Ducks. Did they signal him to be the No. 1 heart and defend Trevor Zegras for an additional season? Or is he there to be the second-line pivot in help? Does Zegras play the wing to allow them to be collectively? Where will we slot in Adam Henrique, Troy Terry and Mason McTavish?
Could I ask any extra questions concerning the Ducks prime six?
Strome has loads of expertise and is usually a energy-play contributor. He may be one of the best ahead on the Ducks roster within the right here and now, so the workforce ought to find a option to characteristic him. But the workforce can also be constructing to be extra aggressive within the 2024-25 marketing campaign than the present one, so it is not a assure. But for those who see Strome because the workforce’s No. 1 heart on opening night time and featured prominently on the ability play, you’ll be able to guess he’ll be fantasy related out of the gate.
Verdict: Probably, nevertheless it’s a wrestle to check the Ducks lineup.
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Alec Martinez, D, Vegas Golden Knights (2.25 FPPG 2019-21; 1.95 FPPG 2021-22): Martinez by no means acquired his engine operating earlier than a skate to the face and 50-plus stitches minimize his season considerably quick. He would return to a Golden Knights workforce that limped towards the end and missed the postseason. Remember how Chychrun was the second finest defenseman in 2020-21? That’s as a result of Martinez was one of the best. His fantasy manufacturing was off-the-charts good because of astronomical blocked photographs. The query right here: Does a 35-12 months-previous defenseman who paid the worth for his bodily play with a skate blade to the face nonetheless need to lie down in entrance of 200 pucks in a season? His shot blocking on the tail finish of final season suggests he does. With 21 defensemen rating forward of him in common draft place (ADP) initially of September, he is wanting like a price decide.
Verdict: Should have one other stable 12 months in him.
Matt Murray and Ilya Samsonov, G, Toronto Maple Leafs (Murray: 3.52 FPP60 2018-19; 1.07 FPP60 2021-22 — Samsonov: 3.18 FPP60 2019-20; 1.86 FPP60 2021-22): This goalie tandem will get highlighted as a result of they have been added by the Maple Leads particularly for the aim of bouncing. again to their former selves/potential. A clear slate and a rock stable workforce in entrance of them needs to be sufficient to verify one, if not each of those goaltenders can find their kind. Their ADP is twentieth and twenty fifth amongst goaltenders, respectively, so securing the companies of them to your bench might be an possibility.
Verdict: Both of them bounce again and Toronto has some choices to make on the finish of the season.
Ondrej Palat, F, New Jersey Devils (1.87 FPPG 2019-21; 1.53 FPPG 2021-22): Essentially assured a plum spot at even power, the large query right here is whether or not Palat will get a style of energy-play life with Jack Hughes and Nico Hischier. If he does, financial institution on the bounceback.
Verdict: Bounceback predicated on energy-play time.
Phil Kessel, F, Vegas Golden Knights (1.37 FPPG 2019-21; 1.17 FPPG 2021-22): After being stranded just about alone within the desert for 2 years, there’s a very massive alternative for Kessel to begin producing once more with the Golden Knights.
Verdict: Of course he bounces again. Thirty objectives and 40 helpers flanking Eichel and Stone.
Jonathan Toews, F, Chicago Blackhawks (1.75 FPPG 2019-21; 1.11 FPPG 2021-22): Refreshed however not essentially reinvigorated by the teardown round him, Toews wanted final 12 months to get reacclimatized to the NHL after taking a 12 months off. Whether he is flipped to a contender by the deconstructing Blackhawks or not, he ought to push to fantasy relevance as soon as once more.
Verdict: For Toews’ sake, let’s hope he bounces again and may find a touchdown place on the deadline.
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