2023 NFL playoffs: Ranking all eight divisional round groups, with Chiefs and Eagles headlining talented field

The divisional round of the NFL playoffs is arguably one of the best weekend of the season. All of the narratives disparaging the Super Bowl contenders are thrown out the window because the contenders settle the rating on the field.

Look on the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers squaring off. Ditto with the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals. All 4 of those groups are among the many greatest within the league, however this weekend will show how good every of those groups are as they face a crew with equal expertise throughout a number of areas on the roster.

Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs are out to show they’re deserving of the No. 1 seeds of their respective conferences. On the opposite facet, the underdog New York Giants and Jacksonville Jaguars are looking for to show their journey to the divisional round wasn’t a fluke.

While the video games are going to be settled on the field, how would we rank every of the eight playoff groups left? Part of those rankings calculate the trail to get to the Super Bowl, however the expertise degree on the rosters performs an enormous position.

All NFL odds through Caesars Sportsbook.

8. New York Giants

  • Odds to win Super Bowl: +3000
  • Odds to win NFC: +1300

The Giants deserve a ton of credit score for being right here, beating the Minnesota Vikings on the highway to have a possibility to play Philadelphia within the divisional round. New York would not flip the soccer over (7.3% turnover charge on offense is one of the best within the NFL) and can run the ball, rating fourth within the league in dashing (148.2 YPG) and fifth in yards per carry (4.8).

The offense solely has two video games wherein it scored 30-plus factors all season (though they’ve come previously three video games) and is simply fifteenth in factors scored per recreation (21.5) and 18th in yards per recreation (333.9). The protection is seventeenth in factors allowed per recreation (21.8) and twenty fifth in yards allowed per recreation (358.2), with a run protection that’s twenty seventh in yards allowed per recreation (144.2) and thirty first in yards allowed per carry (5.2).

New York wanted Daniel Jones to play his greatest recreation of the yr in opposition to a bottom-three protection to get previous Minnesota. The Giants are 3-6-1 of their previous 9 video games, however have made it to the ultimate eight.

The expertise discrepancy is clear when evaluating the Giants to the remainder of the field. However, Brian Daboll and the teaching workers appear to know what they’re doing, and they play a mode of soccer that lends itself to knocking off higher opponents. Because of these components, New York has a shot.

7. Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Odds to win Super Bowl: +3500
  • Odds to win AFC: +1300

The AFC South champions weren’t presupposed to be right here six weeks in the past, sitting with a 4-8 report and a small probability of profitable the division. Jacksonville hasn’t misplaced since, because of the play of Trevor Lawrence and a run protection that has allowed simply 90.5 yards per recreation over the previous 4 contests. Then there’s Doug Pederson, whose in-game changes and artistic fourth-down play calls have helped Jacksonville win video games, to not point out what he has performed with the tradition of the locker room.

Jacksonville is within the divisional round for the primary time since 2017, as Pederson is taking part in with home cash in opposition to his former coach in Andy Reid. The Jaguars are nonetheless using excessive after erasing a 27-0 first-half deficit to stun the Los Angeles Chargers final weekend.

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The Jaguars have a top-10 offense in factors (23.8) and yards per recreation (357.4), whereas Mike Caldwell’s protection has allowed simply 13.0 factors per recreation over the previous 4. His 27 takeaways are additionally fifth within the NFL.

Don’t sleep on Jacksonville, however the Jaguars have a tall activity in opposition to Kansas City.

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

6. Cincinnati Bengals

  • Odds to win Super Bowl: +800
  • Odds to win AFC: +400

The Bengals are crimson scorching heading into this stage of the playoffs, profitable 9 in a row to seize the AFC North — beating the Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens (twice) within the course of. The defending AFC champions deserve respect with Joe Burrow at quarterback throwing to playmakers like Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Cincinnati confirmed it could go into Kansas City and win a playoff recreation final yr, so the Bengals’ means to win massive video games should not be questioned.

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The Bengals haven’t got an excellent operating offense, rating twenty ninth in dashing yards per recreation (92.9) and twenty ninth in yards per try (3.8). The cross protection generally is a weak point, too, rating twenty third in passing yards per recreation (227.9) regardless of permitting simply 17 passing touchdowns (fourth within the NFL). The Bengals quit yards, however are sixth in scoring protection.

The offensive line accidents are why the Bengals are this low. Losing La’El Collins and Jonah Williams are enormous blows for a crew that should defend Burrow, not forgetting Alex Cappa can also be week-to-week. These accidents could also be an excessive amount of for Cincinnati to beat, however groups with Burrow should not be counted out.

5. Dallas Cowboys

  • Odds to win Super Bowl: +850
  • Odds to win NFC: +350

The Cowboys have been among the best groups within the NFL all season, and they’re nearly as good as any crew within the league when Dak Prescott is not turning the ball over and the offense is not going by means of lapses the place it could’t transfer the ball. This crew was fourth in scoring (27.5 PPG) regardless of being eleventh in yards per recreation (354.9) and nineteenth in yards per possession. The operating recreation of Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard makes the Cowboys harmful, regardless of the Cowboys solely rating 18th in yards per carry (4.3). Their 24 dashing touchdowns had been second within the NFL, whereas their red-zone scoring proportion of 71.4 was one of the best within the league.

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Dallas had probably the most takeaways within the league (33) and has one of many top-five defensive gamers within the recreation in Micah Parsons. They’re fifth within the league in factors allowed (20.1 PPG) and eighth in passing yards allowed (200.9). The clear weak point is the run protection, which ranks twenty second in yards allowed per recreation (129.3) and seventeenth in yards allowed per carry (4.4). Over the previous 4 video games, the run protection has allowed simply 96.8 yards per recreation — huge for a crew that struggles to sort out at instances.

Dallas has probably the most skilled quarterback of the remaining NFC golf equipment in Prescott, however can this crew beat San Francisco? Can it beat Philadelphia with a wholesome Jalen Hurts? This is a Super Bowl contender, but there are questions.

Featured Game | San Francisco 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys

4. San Francisco 49ers

  • Odds to win Super Bowl: +380
  • Odds to win NFC: +160

How can a crew as talented because the 49ers be in the course of the pack? All San Francisco has performed is win 11 video games in a row — six of which have been with a third-string quarterback who has a 121.4 passer score in these begins. Brock Purdy has been nice, but he hasn’t confronted a cross rush that may get to the quarterback like Dallas and Philadelphia but. Sunday would be the greatest check for Purdy this season.

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Besides the Purdy reservations, this 49ers crew is loaded. They have Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle — all of whom are thought of prime 5 at their respective positions. Brandon Aiyuk can also be an excellent receiver, and Kyle Shanahan is a grasp at placing these guys in one of the best conditions to win soccer video games. San Francisco is sixth in factors per recreation (26.8) and fifth in yards per recreation (365.6), whereas the dashing offense has averaged 175.3 dashing yards per recreation over their previous six video games.

The 49ers protection is No. 1 in factors (16.3) and yards allowed (300.6) whereas permitting the fewest factors per possession within the league. The run protection is second in yards allowed (77.7) and in yards per carry allowed (3.4), however the cross protection is twentieth in yards allowed (223.2). That stated, the unit does have probably the most interceptions within the NFL (20).

San Francisco is the most well liked crew within the NFL, however its path to the Super Bowl may be very troublesome. This is one other crew that has a reputable argument to be No. 1.

3. Buffalo Bills

  • Odds to win Super Bowl: +350
  • Odds to win AFC: +165

Buffalo may simply be No. 1 on this listing with the expertise on this roster. The Bills are constructed to win the Super Bowl this season with Josh Allen at quarterback, main the No. 2 offense in factors (28.8) and yards (399.1) per recreation. Buffalo — not generally known as a operating crew — additionally completed seventh in dashing yards per recreation (137.6) and second in yards per carry (5.2). The Bills had been additionally second in factors and yards per possession, making this offense some of the harmful within the NFL. Their three losses had been by a mixed 9 factors.

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The protection was second in factors allowed per recreation (18.6) and fifth in yards allowed per recreation (313.9). They have a top-five run protection in yards per recreation (100.9) and rank seventh in dashing touchdowns allowed (10). Buffalo’s cross protection is not as sturdy as in years previous (fifteenth in yards allowed and thirteenth in landing passes allowed), however this protection creates turnovers (27 takeaways are fourth within the NFL).

This Bills crew is sweet sufficient to win the Super Bowl, and they will get the good thing about taking part in the Chiefs in a neutral-site title recreation if it involves fruition. If Josh Allen can handle the soccer, Buffalo goes to be very arduous to beat — even when its path to the Super Bowl consists of Cincinnati this week.

Featured Game | Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals

2. Philadelphia Eagles

  • Odds to win Super Bowl: +525
  • Odds to win NFC: +165

Somehow, the Eagles do not get the respect for a way good they have been all season lengthy. This crew cruised to the No. 1 seed within the NFC and was 14-1 in video games Jalen Hurts began at quarterback. Perhaps the Hurts shoulder damage impacts Philadelphia, however the actuality is that the Eagles needed to win simply considered one of their final three video games to wrap up home-field benefit and had an additional week of relaxation to organize for his or her subsequent opponent — which is big for Hurts and the offense.

Philadelphia had the no. 3 offense in factors per recreation (28.1) and yards per recreation (389.1) whereas additionally having a top-five dashing offense (147.6 YPG) and main the league in dashing touchdowns (32). It was additionally prime 5 in factors and yards per possession.

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The protection is a top-five unit, too, rating eighth in factors per recreation (20.2) and second in yards per recreation (301.4). Philadelphia had the no. 1 cross protection (179.8 YPG) with James Bradberry and Darius Slay and additionally had 70 sacks on the season. Four gamers had 10-plus sacks on the Eagles, probably the most by any crew in NFL historical past.

The Eagles are some of the full groups within the NFL, and Hurts has had loads of relaxation to get that shoulder proper. This crew wins when Hurts is on the field.

Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants

1. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Odds to win Super Bowl: +310
  • Odds to win AFC: +145

Not solely are the Chiefs the No. 1 seed within the convention, however Kansas City has Andy Reid as its head coach and Patrick Mahomes as its quarterback. Those two components alone make Kansas City harmful come this time of yr (keep in mind that Mahomes has by no means performed a highway playoff recreation, nor has he ever had a season as a beginning quarterback throughout which he failed to achieve the convention championship recreation).

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The Chiefs had the highest scoring offense (29.2 PPG) and the highest offense in yards per recreation (413.6). They had the highest offense in factors and yards per possession, and the operating recreation has improved considerably over the ultimate 9 weeks of the season. The protection will get stress on the quarterback (second within the league with 55 sacks) and has the highest-ranked protection in factors per recreation allowed (eleventh) since Steve Spagnuolo took over as defensive coordinator in 2019.

Kansas City misplaced to Buffalo and Cincinnati this yr, however this crew has the last word benefit in Reid and Mahomes. That places the Chiefs as one of the best crew remaining in these playoffs.

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