2022 Rangers Report Card: Braden Schneider

When the Rangers used the nineteenth decide of the 2020 Entry Draft on Braden Schneider, the choice raised just a few eyebrows. Adam Fox was coming off a robust rookie season that noticed him earn down poll consideration for the Calder Trophy and make the All-Rookie staff. Jacob Trouba had simply completed the primary of a seven-year deal and whether or not it was due to his play or his pay, was locked right into a prime 4 spot on the correct aspect blue line for the foreseeable future. Nils Lundkvist was probably the most extremely regarded defensive prospects within the NHL and was arguably the highest prospect in New York’s system on the time.

Schneider spent nearly all of his first post-draft season in WHL Brandon earlier than making the leap to the professionals for the 2021-22 marketing campaign. Although he didn’t make the opening night time roster, Schneider went to AHL Hartford and plugged away till being recalled on January eleventh. From there, Schneider performed in 43 of the remaining 45 common season video games and drew into the lineup for every of New York’s 20 playoff contests en path to the Eastern Conference Finals. So how did he do in these video games?

Boxcar Stats: 43 GP, 2 G, 9 A, 25 SOG, 15:28 TOI/GP, 9 PIM, -2 Penalty Differential, +3 On-Ice Goal Differential

5-on-5 Analytical Metrics: 0.95 Points/60, -8.93 Relative CF%, -8.80 Relative SF%, -1.60 Relative GF%, -7.52 Relative Expected GF%, -7.56 Relative SCF%, 103.4 On-Ice PDO, 1.0 GAR

Playoff Stats: 0 Goals, 3 Assists, 11:08 TOI/GP, -3.89 Relative CF%, -3.31 Relative xGF%, -3 On-Ice Goal Differential

Although Nils Lundkvist beat him out for a roster spot to open the season, Lundkvist was the one despatched all the way down to Hartford when Schneider was referred to as up, and it was Schneider who turned a mainstay in New York’s lineup down the stretch. Schneider made his NHL debut on January thirteenth towards the San Jose Sharks, and the rookie wasted little time making his mark by scoring a objective in his first recreation:

Schneider spent nearly all of the common season partnered with Patrik Nemeth, with almost 59% of his 5-on-5 minutes occurring alongside the now-former Ranger. When Nemeth was out of the lineup, Schneider often discovered himself skating alongside Ryan Lindgren, Zac Jones, or Justin Braun, every of whom partnered with Schneider for roughly 11% of Schneider’s minutes. Nemeth opened the playoffs skating alongside Schneider on the third pair, however Gerard Gallant had seen sufficient after 4 video games towards Pittsburgh, and Braun took over for Nemeth for the ultimate 16 playoff video games.

When evaluating Schneider’s play there’s lots of context, to look at. On one hand, most Rangers followers would say they thought he performed nicely after being recalled and proved his mettle by changing into an on a regular basis participant for a Conference finalist as a 20-year-old. On the opposite hand, the shot and scoring likelihood differentials inform the story of a participant who was a serious drag on the staff each time he hopped over the boards, and parsing via why that’s and whether or not Schneider is responsible for that turns into the query at hand.

As beforehand said, Schneider performed extra time with Nemeth than all different defenders mixed. After rumors of a buyout swirled however by no means got here to cross, the Rangers connected a pair of draft picks to Nemeth to ensure that the Coyotes to tackle the ultimate two seasons of his contract. Nemeth was New York’s worst defenseman in each metric throughout the board, so it is honest to say Schneider’s poor on-ice outcomes lay considerably along with his accomplice.

As fast as some could also be to put Braden Schneider’s shortcomings on the ft of Patrik Nemeth, there’s cause to consider Schneider bears a big share of the blame
Evolving Hockey

However, Nemeth’s numbers with Schneider have been considerably worse in comparison with his second commonest defensive accomplice, that being Nils Lundkvist. Both the Nemeth-Schneider pairing (+14/15) and the Nemeth-Lundkvist pairing (+7/-8) have been minus one in objective differential, however the relative shot and likelihood numbers strongly favor the Nemeth-Lundkvist pairing.

Using the 238 minutes Nemeth and Lundkvist performed collectively because the cutoff, 142 defensive pairs qualify for these rankings. The Nemeth-Lundkvist pairing did not fare too nicely, as they ranked 126th in shot makes an attempt, 134th in scoring probabilities, 127th in photographs on objective, and 108th in anticipated objectives. In spite of their struggles, they nonetheless outperformed the Nemeth-Schneider pairing, as their time collectively noticed them place 141st in shot makes an attempt, 138th in scoring probabilities, 142nd in photographs on objective, and 142nd in anticipated objectives.

Lundkvist wasn’t excellent throughout his NHL stint, however the narrative surrounding him and Schneider does not fairly line up with their play. Nothing right here factors to Schneider firmly establishing himself as an NHL caliber participant fairly but. There’s one thing to be mentioned about making the NHL at age 20, however the kudos from that solely go up to now when that 20-year-old did not play significantly nicely by any metric of your selecting.

When the playoffs rolled round. Schneider often discovered himself watching the latter levels of shut video games from the bench as Gerard Gallant shortened his bench. That’s not a matter of a coach simply trusting his younger defenseman, as no Ranger had extra ice time than second yr professional K’Andre Miller. Aside from getting his pocket picked by 37-year-old Brian Boyle to steer on to a objective towards in Game 3 of the primary spherical, Schneider performed nondescript hockey for the Blueshirts. That was mirrored to find himself below the ten minute mark in time on ice for half of the staff’s playoff video games, together with 4 of the ultimate six contests towards Tampa Bay.

Schneider changing into an on a regular basis participant in 2021-22 wasn’t one thing most Rangers followers anticipated to occur. After solely 26 AHL video games, Schneider seems to have made the everlasting leap to Broadway and must be a giant a part of this subsequent window of rivalry the staff opened this season. The on-ice outcomes have been something however fairly for Schneider, however there’s some leeway to be given because of immense struggles from his major defensive accomplice.

Schneider is at present slated to be paired with one of many group’s younger, left-handed defenders. Matthew Robertson and Zac Jones are the highest two names on that record, though Libor Hajek remains to be hanging across the depth chart and will function a fallback possibility on the third pair. Whoever Schneider finally ends up enjoying alongside, his play subsequent season will reply a few of the questions residents of Rangerstown have been left with when his rookie season concluded.

Masthead Average: C+ (1 B-, 3 C+’s, 2 C’s, 1 C-)

*All Data through Natural Stat Trick and Evolving Hockey

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